Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 1.054870 1.270748 1.544094 1.925865 2.463373 3.224561 4.450551
2025-12-14 0.749320 0.979947 1.313192 1.863054 2.828678 4.669518 9.288289
2025-12-21 0.602266 0.828280 1.183541 1.841526 3.212863 6.639329 21.294190
2025-12-28 0.537349 0.772388 1.171094 1.996882 4.063594 11.341360 100.141321
2026-01-04 0.481214 0.714169 1.132354 2.078119 4.851545 18.874591 3834.783722
2026-01-11 0.429902 0.652377 1.068121 2.071763 5.414660 29.529101 NaN
2026-01-18 0.384777 0.593120 0.993781 2.008692 5.744999 43.578602 NaN
2026-01-25 0.356102 0.558840 0.961891 2.043214 6.564516 85.983639 NaN
2026-02-01 0.335735 0.536681 0.950258 2.130819 7.857375 271.366110 NaN
2026-02-08 0.312244 0.505145 0.911318 2.120502 8.655686 1052.879944 NaN
2026-02-15 0.288852 0.470976 0.860257 2.052357 9.007785 7449.257596 NaN
2026-02-22 0.276318 0.456930 0.853645 2.133938 10.825901 NaN NaN
2026-03-01 0.260918 0.435753 0.827278 2.140015 12.178416 NaN NaN
2026-03-08 0.244406 0.410704 0.787662 2.082790 12.816117 NaN NaN
2026-03-15 0.231145 0.391191 0.759118 2.060050 13.969322 NaN NaN
2026-03-22 0.226855 0.390156 0.777826 2.244185 19.616205 NaN NaN
2026-03-29 0.219592 0.381884 0.775919 2.340799 25.266950 NaN NaN
2026-04-05 0.209792 0.367099 0.753860 2.333248 28.779206 NaN NaN
2026-04-12 0.198974 0.349186 0.720710 2.258294 29.809247 NaN NaN
2026-04-19 0.192223 0.339854 0.710618 2.299298 36.680777 NaN NaN
2026-04-26 0.187503 0.334694 0.711753 2.403608 51.076681 NaN NaN
2026-05-03 0.180379 0.323447 0.693431 2.391305 59.515357 NaN NaN
2026-05-10 0.172276 0.309391 0.665122 2.310167 60.879536 NaN NaN